The claims about Alberta independence, checked against the evidence.

Each claim is stated fairly, given a verdict, and linked to real sources. Contested questions are marked contested rather than forced to a conclusion the evidence does not support. Select a verdict tile to filter the list.

All claims (27)

PensionMisleading

Alberta is entitled to 53 percent (about 334 billion dollars) of CPP assets if it leaves.

Stated by: Government of Alberta / LifeWorks 2023 report

EqualizationMisleading

Alberta pays into equalization every year and gets nothing back.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

TradeMisleading

An independent Alberta is guaranteed sea access under UNCLOS Articles 124 to 125.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

CurrencyMisleading

Alberta can simply keep using the Canadian dollar, with no downside.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

ConstitutionMisleading

A provincial referendum is enough for Alberta to secede.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

CitizenshipContested

Albertans would keep their Canadian passports after independence.

Stated by: Alberta Prosperity Project

DefenceMisleading

An independent Alberta faces no real security threats and minimal defence cost.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

SovereigntyContested

The Sovereignty Act lets Alberta refuse to enforce any federal law it considers harmful.

Stated by: Government of Alberta

ConstitutionMisleading

The 2021 referendum means equalization is being removed from the Constitution.

Stated by: Stated during the 2021 equalization referendum campaign

TradeMisleading

An independent Alberta would automatically stay in USMCA and Canada's trade agreements.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

DebtMisleading

Independence would be a fiscal windfall and Alberta would owe no share of the national debt.

Stated by: Alberta Prosperity Project fiscal plan

EconomyContested

Albertans would be wealthier in an independent Alberta.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

StatehoodContested

Alberta could simply become the 51st US state.

Stated by: Discussed by some Alberta independence advocates

TreatiesContested

First Nations and their treaties would be unaffected if Alberta became independent.

Stated by: Implied by some Alberta independence proposals

EnergyMisleading

An independent Alberta could force new pipelines through British Columbia to tidewater.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

EconomyContested

Independence would let Alberta build a Norway-style trillion-dollar wealth fund.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

ConstitutionMisleading

A simple 50 percent plus one majority would be enough for Alberta to leave.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

FiscalEstablished

Albertans pay far more into federal finances than they get back.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

DefenceMisleading

An independent Alberta would keep its place in NATO and continental defence.

Stated by: Implied by some Alberta independence proposals

Public opinionMisleading

A majority of Albertans support leaving Canada.

Stated by: Asserted by some Alberta independence advocates

TradeContested

Because of its oil, Alberta would hold the upper hand in separation negotiations.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

EconomyUnverifiable

An independent Alberta would borrow cheaply and enjoy a strong credit rating.

Stated by: Implied by some Alberta independence proposals

FiscalEstablished

Albertans pay more into Employment Insurance than they get back.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

EnergyEstablished

The courts struck down Ottawa's Bill C-69 as an unconstitutional intrusion into Alberta's resource jurisdiction.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates

SovereigntyEstablished

Alberta could run its own pension plan and collect its own income tax without separating, as Quebec does.

Stated by: Government of Alberta

StatehoodMisleading

An independent Alberta would be recognized internationally and join the UN as a matter of course.

Stated by: Implied by some Alberta independence proposals

EqualizationEstablished

Quebec receives the most equalization money.

Stated by: Commonly stated by Alberta independence advocates